Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 169.005703 200.303070 238.644827 290.069106 358.851266 450.205606 5.854145e+02
2025-01-12 128.732279 164.918605 214.870741 292.279241 416.428556 623.460821 1.039459e+03
2025-01-19 106.088412 142.192233 195.730444 286.752015 452.438010 782.262372 1.658634e+03
2025-01-26 97.735816 136.691316 198.592281 314.228925 555.907129 1152.055543 3.531740e+03
2025-02-02 94.268602 137.348060 210.628107 361.604217 730.119457 1925.684306 1.150686e+04
2025-02-09 84.646572 126.070623 199.215013 358.586974 786.281246 2462.904772 2.943937e+04
2025-02-16 78.043191 118.719208 193.204825 364.892102 874.267432 3370.652479 1.634663e+05
2025-02-23 72.521006 112.367986 187.715428 370.492943 967.392306 4691.358131 4.435291e+09
2025-03-02 68.273917 107.677475 184.552550 380.825595 1090.091474 7021.894415 NaN
2025-03-09 64.113793 102.583237 179.590154 384.871510 1196.411788 10395.647023 NaN
2025-03-16 59.251750 95.601103 169.468573 371.521813 1216.092283 13100.750408 NaN
2025-03-23 57.001779 93.398966 169.460544 387.919893 1407.518520 25426.756691 NaN
2025-03-30 52.231674 86.181334 158.037900 369.153063 1408.634713 34760.591577 NaN
2025-04-06 49.203391 82.199290 153.653129 372.462987 1565.317830 83722.861504 NaN
2025-04-13 45.968034 77.435091 146.637250 364.669039 1643.648647 198255.683550 NaN
2025-04-20 45.299673 77.852501 152.182406 403.648240 2199.505157 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 45.590300 80.312396 163.423984 472.135441 3429.318226 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 43.167399 76.592153 157.716111 467.726576 3746.558256 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 41.414650 74.183462 155.198340 476.946935 4403.207255 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 39.783229 71.886201 152.624680 485.160343 5179.639069 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 38.468374 70.182152 151.470887 500.369074 6394.965591 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 37.021824 68.040300 148.714763 506.344071 7549.374434 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 35.096705 64.630673 141.749723 486.671479 7587.832657 NaN NaN